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  • Full member

Luís Aguiar-Conraria

Ph.D in Economics Cornell University


Full Professor at the University of Minho, Ph.D. in Economics (Cornell University), MSc in Economics (University of Porto), and Licentiate in Economics (University of Coimbra).
In the past, he has been the director of the Economics Department and Vice-president for Internationalization and Research in the School of Economics and Management.
In 2011, he received the Gulbenkian Prize for Social Sciences Internationalization. In 2010 and 2013 he received the EEG/UMinho’s Prize for excellence in research He has received several grants from FCT. Currently, he has a 3-year grant about voting rules and electoral distortions – €95 000.



Areas of interest

Portuguese Economy
Political Economy
Wavelet Analysis Carbon Markets


Aguiar-Conraria, L , Fernandes, B , & Magalhães, P C

Economic forecasts and executive approval

Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties DOI
Ojo, M O , Aguiar-Conraria, L , & Soares, M J

The performance of OECD's composite leading indicator

International Journal of Finance & Economics DOI
Aguiar-Conraria, L , Martins, M M F , & Soares, M J (2023)

The Phillips curve at 65: Time for time and frequency

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 151, 104620 DOI
Aguiar-Conraria, L , Conceição, G , & Soares, M J (2021)

How Far is Gas from becoming a Global Commodity?

Energy Journal, 43(4), 153–172 DOI
Alexandre, J C , & Aguiar-Conraria, L (2021)

Opinion expression on hazing: has the Spiral of Silence reached the Portuguese higher education?

Journal of Further and Higher Education, 45(10), 1325–1341 DOI


CLICTOUR - Turismo Resiliente às Alterações Climáticas nas Áreas Protegidas do Norte de Portugal

Funding: Comissão de Coordenação e Desenvolvimento Regional do Norte | CCDR-N

Duration: 2021-05-01 - 2023-06-30

É tudo sobre produtividade: contribuições para a compreensão da estagnação da economia portuguesa

Funding: Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia

Duration: 2018-10-01 - 2022-09-30

Voting rules and electoral biases

Funding: Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia

Duration: 2016-05-01 - 2019-12-31

Financial Literacy

Funding: European Investment Bank

Duration: 2013-01-01 - 2015-12-31

POPSTAR - Public Opinion and Sentiment Tracking, Analysis and Research

Funding: Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia

Duration: 2012-07-01 - 2014-12-31

1986-2010: The Portuguese Economy in the European Union

Funding: Universidade do Minho

Duration: 2010-04-01 - 2014-05-07

Monetary policy and asset prices in regime-switching economies

Funding: Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia

Duration: 2010-01-01 - 2012-06-30

Oil shocks and the Macroeconomy: Econometric estimation, economic modeling and policy implications

Funding: Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, I.P.

Duration: 2008-01-01 - 2011-03-31


Economia Monetária e Financeira Internacional Mestrado
Economia Monetária Internacional Licenciatura
Filtros e Ôndulas em Economia Doutoramento
Metodologia e Proposta de Investigação em Economia Mestrado